Europe Macro: Digesting Higher Rates & Energy Prices

Know More. Risk Better. Podcast | Season 10, Episode 18

In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, host Logan Miller speaks with Anwita Basu, Head of Country Risk for Europe at BMI, about Europe’s macro outlook, geopolitical pressures, and evolving credit risks in 2026. They discuss how repeated crises have reshaped Europe’s strategic priorities, from energy transition and defense spending to fiscal coordination and competitiveness. The conversation examines the impact of Middle East tensions on energy prices, Europe’s role as a price taker, and the risk of prolonged stagflation amid weak demand and higher-for-longer interest rates. They also explore Germany’s expansionary fiscal stance, housing market pressures, and divergent policy responses across the region. The episode concludes with insights on geopolitical volatility, US-Europe transmission risks, and what investors are watching next. Listen now for expert perspectives on European credit conditions and macro risk dynamics.

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Speakers:

Logan Miller, Head of European Strategy, CreditSights:
Logan leads European strategy across investment grade and leveraged finance markets, developing market views and investment recommendations for institutional investors.

Anwita Basu, Head of Europe Country Risk, BMI:
Anwita leads Europe country risk analysis at BMI, bringing deep expertise in geopolitics, macroeconomic risk, and emerging and developed markets.

Timestamps:

00:00 – Introduction
02:20 – Europe’s outlook entering 2026
05:25 – Energy shocks and resilience
09:45 – Stagflation risks and consumers
12:45 – Strategic priorities and competitiveness
17:40 – Rates, growth, and scenarios
21:15 – Conclusion & Key Takeaways

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