Asia Credit Best Ideas

Asia Credit Best Ideas: February 2026

Zerlina Zeng, CFA: Head of APAC Credit Strategy - CreditSights
Pramod Shenoi: Head of Asia-Pacific Research, Head of Financials - CreditSights
Lakshmanan R, CFA, FRM: Head of South & Southeast Asia Corporates - CreditSights
Pius Xue, CFA: Senior Analyst - CreditSights
Jonathan Tan Jun Jie: Analyst, South & Southeast Asia Corporates - CreditSights
Zoey Zhou Qianyun, CFA: Analyst, East Asia Corporates - CreditSights
Stephanie Sim, CFA: Analyst, Strategy and East Asia Corporates - CreditSights
Trung Tran: Senior Analyst, APAC Insurance and Middle East Banks - CreditSights
Karen Wu, CFA: Senior Analyst, Financials - CreditSights
Lim Ze Hao, CFA: Analyst, Financials - CreditSights
Nicole Chua: Analyst, South & Southeast Asia Corporates - CreditSights
Nicholas Chen: Analyst, East Asia Corporates - CreditSights

3 February 2026

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Insights into Asia Credit Best Ideas: February 2026, including:

  • Market Performance & Opportunity Landscape: Explore how Asia $ IG and HY credits performed in January 2026, with Asia IG tightening 3 bp and Asia HY compressing 36 bp, revealing resilient positioning despite global volatility in rates and equities.
  • Strategic Framework for 2026: Discover how our Asia Credit Best Ideas framework prioritizes duration over credit risk, targeting intermediate and long-duration exposures in high-grade names while maintaining defensive core holdings amid expected spread movements to 100 bp for IG and 440 bp for HY.
  • Investment Opportunities Across Sectors: Uncover actionable insights across financials and corporates including Australian and Japanese T2s/AT1s, Indian NBFIs, Middle East pipeline infrastructure, and select names across frontier sovereigns and China HY credits with compelling spread dynamics.
  • Regional Value & Spread Analysis: Access granular spread analysis highlighting key opportunities across frontier sovereigns, India, China, and South & Southeast Asia corporates, with detailed evaluation of spread differentials and market positioning across various rating categories.
  • Portfolio Construction Strategy: Understand tactical positioning guidance for total return vs. excess return mandates, including insights on high-grade defensive credits, carry optimization, credit story evaluation, and currency diversification strategies favoring AUD bonds.

Executive Summary

  • Despite higher volatility in rates, equities, and precious metals, Asia $ credits were unscathed in January with Asia $ IG/HY tighter by 3/36 bp; Asia IG performance was driven by AA and A rating buckets and the belly (5-7Y), while Asia HY performance was driven by frontier-sovereigns (SRILAN, PKSTAN), Indian NBFIs, and China HY credits; ADIG delivered excess/total returns of +0.02%/+0.08% while ADHY generated excess/total returns of +2.14%/+2.26%.

  • We continue preferring duration to credit risk in Asia credits for total-return based investors; we expect Asia spreads to meaningfully widen in 2026 due to rich valuations, lower all-in yields, and US macro and policy uncertainties; we recommend investors keeping high-grade defensive credits as core portfolio holdings, focusing on carry, looking for credit improving stories and special sits opportunities for excess returns; to play duration in Asia credits, we like the long-dated bonds of A-and-above rated names, high-grade fixed-for-life $ Perps that we do not expect to be redeemed in 2026, and bonds with low $-cash prices and positive convexity; we recommend investors diversifying across markets and currencies if allowed by their mandates; we like AUD bonds in particular.

  • We launched a Sukuk portfolio containing our picks in the Middle East financials & corporates $ bond space; please refer to the attached spread sheet and the body section for the adjustments to our Asia credit core and thematic portfolios.

 

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