Geopolitics, the Dollar and the AI Bubble Debate
Know More. Risk Better. Podcast | Season 10, Episode 29
In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, Zachary Griffiths is joined by Cedric Chehab at BMI to discuss the key macroeconomic, geopolitical, and market forces shaping the global outlook. They examine the evolving situation between the US and Iran, the implications of higher oil prices, inflation risks, and how central banks may respond if geopolitical tensions escalate.
The conversation also explores the outlook for the US economy, labor markets, interest rates, the US dollar, and the growing role of AI-driven investment in supporting growth while raising concerns about valuations and potential market excesses. Zach and Cedric further discuss political risk, the 2026 US midterm elections, housing market challenges, and how investors can navigate an increasingly uncertain environment. Tune in for valuable insights into the risks, opportunities, and market dynamics that matter most for investors today.
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Speakers:
Zachary Griffiths, CFA, Head of IG & Macro Strategy, CreditSights:
Zachary leads US investment grade and macro strategy, bringing expertise in financial markets and economic implications.
Cedric Chehab, Chief Economist, BMI:
Cedric specializes in macroeconomic analysis, banking systems, monetary policy, and international financial markets with expertise in historical economic comparisons and structural economic constraints.
Timestamps:
00:00 US-Iran Conflict: Current State and Future Outlook
03:46 Assessing the Ceasefire and Future Developments
08:20 Global Economic Implications of Oil Price Fluctuations
12:18 Interest Rates and the Dollar’s Strength
16:22 Inflation Dynamics and Labor Market Stability
19:58 Economic Growth Forecasts and Risks
23:38 AI Investment and Market Dynamics
28:02 Debt Levels and Market Volatility
31:55 Political Landscape and Market Implications
37:37 Conclusion & Key Takeaways
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