Banks, Private Credit and the Myth of a 2008 Replay

Know More. Risk Better. Podcast | Season 10, Episode 16

In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, host Zachary Griffiths is joined by Peter Simon, Head of US Banks, and Simon Adamson, Head of European Banks, to examine rising investor concerns around private credit and bank exposure. They explore whether current risks echo 2008, discussing regulatory changes, capital strength, and why a systemic crisis appears unlikely. The conversation analyzes how banks lend to private credit funds, BDCs, and business credit intermediaries, focusing on structure, collateral, and capital impact. They also assess market pricing signals, default risk, and exposure metrics such as total loans and CET1 capital. The episode compares US and European bank exposure, highlights regulatory scrutiny, and addresses software and AI-related credit concerns. It concludes with insights on monitoring private credit risk without losing sight of broader bank fundamentals. Listen now for a clear, data-driven view of private credit and bank risk across global markets and evolving credit cycles in 2026 and investor positioning.

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Speakers:

Zachary Griffiths, Head of IG & Macro Strategy, CreditSights:
Zachary leads US investment grade and macro strategy, focusing on rates, credit markets, and global risk dynamics.

Peter Simon, Head of Banks, CreditSights:
Peter leads US bank research, covering bank fundamentals, credit risk, regulatory trends, and private credit exposure.

Simon Adamson, Head of Financials, CreditSights:
Simon oversees European financials research, with deep expertise in bank credit, regulation, and systemic risk.

Timestamps:

00:00 – Introduction
01:05 – Why Private Credit Matters
05:45 – Is This Like 2008?
10:15 – Bank Exposure Structures
15:30 – Measuring Credit Risk
23:50 – US vs Europe Banks
34:00 – Conclusion & Key Takeaways

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