US High Yield Top Picks – September 2025

US HY Top Picks by Rating - September 2025

Winnie Cisar - Global Head of Strategy, CreditSights
Eric Axon, CFA - Co-Head of High Yield, Head of Healthcare, CreditSights
Davis Hebert, CFA - Co-Head HY Research, Head of Telecom/Media, CreditSights
Jordan Chalfin, CFA - Head of Technology, CreditSights
James Dunn - Head of Consumer Goods, Leisure, CreditSights
Todd Duvick, CFA - Head of Autos, CreditSights
Jory M. Eisenberg, CFA, FRM - Senior Analyst, Special Situations, CreditSights
James Goldstein, CFA - Head of Retail, CreditSights
Charles Johnston, CFA - Head of Energy, CreditSights
Wen Li, CFA - Head of Metals & Mining, CreditSights
Hunter Martin, CFA - Head of Media/Cable, CreditSights
Brian McKenna - Analyst, Telecom & Media/Cable, CreditSights
Michael O’Brien - Senior Analyst, Paper & Packaging, Homebuilders, CreditSights
Matt Woodruff, CFA - Head of Aerospace & Defense / Transports, CreditSights

2 September 2025

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Insights into US High Yield Top Picks by September 2025, including:

Market setup and valuation context: See how sub-300 bp spreads and record-tight ex-distressed levels frame risk/reward and what that means for carry versus downside.

Selection by rating (BB/B/CCC): Understand the criteria we use to surface opportunities across BB, B, and CCC—rating momentum, M&A optionality, and deleveraging via asset sales/spin-offs.

Relative value lens: Learn how we compare structures, maturities, and positions in the capital stack to locate incremental spread and defensive carry in a tightly clustered market.

Scenario paths and catalysts: Gauge potential spread drivers over the next 6–12 months—from upgrades and refinancing windows to industry consolidation—and their implications by rating cohort.

Portfolio construction takeaways: Identify ways to express an Underweight beta/Overweight alpha stance, with practical watchpoints on technicals, macro resilience, and tight spread clusters.

Executive Summary

          • Our US High Yield team has compiled a comprehensive analysis of the current high yield market landscape across rating categories. This report offers a structured framework for evaluating credit opportunities in an environment where careful credit selection has become increasingly important.
          • The high yield market has demonstrated robust performance in 2025, with spreads recently tightening and year-to-date returns showing strength. Notably, returns across rating cohorts remain tightly clustered, with minimal performance differentiation despite varying credit quality. Excluding distressed issuers, HY spreads stand at historically tight levels in our dataset extending back to 1997.
          • This report presents a selection of credits across the rating spectrum, featuring companies from various sectors including cruise lines, metals & mining, packaging, automotive, pharmaceuticals, technology, media, and energy. For each name, we provide context on business fundamentals, capital structure considerations, and relative value positioning within their respective sectors.
          • Our analysis emphasizes companies with specific fundamental catalysts, including potential rating changes, M&A activity, and deleveraging through asset sales or spin-offs. The concentrated nature of current valuations, particularly on a spread basis, underscores the importance of fundamental credit analysis in the current environment.
          • For detailed metrics, company-specific catalysts, or to discuss particular sectors, please contact the respective analyst teams referenced throughout the report. Complete research materials, including recent publications on featured companies, are available through our standard client channels.

 

 

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