Euro 2Q24 IG & HY Outlook

CreditSights' renowned strategists present our 2Q24 outlook for the European Investment Grade and High Yield markets. Claim a complimentary copy of the forecast to gain a competitive edge.

Our forecast for 2Q24 includes the following highlights:

  • We’re adjusting our Euro IG allocation and maintaining our view on Euro HY as spreads have rallied through our initial year-end forecasts, leaving modest upside for excess returns.
  • We’re sticking with our initial call for three 25-bp policy rate reductions by the ECB commencing in June. We expect economic growth to remain subdued.
  • While our views on credit spreads remain consistent with our 2024 outlook, we’ve increased the probability that our bull case forecasts materialize.
  • After a punchy start to the year in primary markets, we’re maintaining our IG gross issuance forecast of €575 billion. We’ve held our HY gross issuance forecast at €90 billion.
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To hear our full outlook for 2Q24, watch a recent webinar hosted by CreditSights strategists.

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