AMC: Steps Taken Toward LME 3.0?
Jory M. Eisenberg, CFA, FRM: Senior Analyst, Special Situations - CreditSights
Kevin Grondahl: Covenant Analyst - Covenant Review
Hunter Martin, CFA: Head of Media/Cable - CreditSights
Brian McKenna: Analyst, Telecom & Media/Cable - CreditSights
3 February 2026
Insights into AMC: Steps Taken Toward LME 3.0?, including:
- LME 3.0 Framework & Strategy: Explore how AMC’s proposed amendments to the 1.5L Note Indenture lay the groundwork for LME 3.0, including streamlined pathways for Odeon Note refinancing and uptiering transactions despite tight covenant constraints.
- Liquidity Position & Runway Analysis: Understand AMC’s current $428.5M cash position (exceeding estimates) and projected 1Q26 burn rate of ~$265M, with detailed insights on the ~$10B domestic box office threshold needed for FCF breakeven.
- Odeon Notes Refinancing Pathway: Discover the strategic implications of refinancing the $400M Odeon Notes due November 2027, including conditions relaxed under January 29 amendments and remaining Term Loan Credit Agreement hurdles.
- Covenant Capacity & Capital Structure Constraints: Navigate AMC’s complex post-LME debt structure with only $30-40M incremental debt capacity across facilities, and learn which creditor consents are required for meaningful uptiering transactions (including 100% thresholds for subordination).
- Credit Recommendations & Recovery Analysis: Access CreditSights’ recommendations on Muvico Term Loan and 1.5L Notes, Hold ratings on RemainCo 7.5% Notes and Odeon Notes, with waterfall recovery analysis pending updated 2026 box office estimates and LME 3.0 structuring details.
Executive Summary
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In this collaboration between CreditSights and Covenant Review, we discuss AMC’s proposed amendments to the 1.5L Note Indenture and explore the subsequent steps required to execute an uptiering transaction, likely involving a refinancing of the Odeon debt.
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CreditSights’ recommendations are driven by modeled waterfall recoveries following the July 2025 LME transactions, relative trading yields and international theater market visibility, pending further information on the structuring of an LME 3.0 transaction and updated 2026 box office estimates.
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Covenant Review has previously discussed the tight covenant packages in place for the Muvico Term Loan and 1.5L Notes. Each of these documents provide for only $30 mn of incremental debt capacity, which must be issued as junior lien debt (with reference to each of these respective debt facilities). The 1.5L Note Indenture from July 2025 had contemplated a refinancing of the Odeon Notes as upsized Term Loans, subject to certain conditions. While many of these conditions would be relaxed under the January 29 proposed amendments, executing a transaction would still require additional substantive amendments to be made to the Term Loan Credit Agreement. We note this series of amendments does not contemplate any significant new money financing component, to the extent bolstering liquidity is a motivation of management.



