The ARR Reckoning: Decoding Software Stress Across Credit

February 25, 2026

In our latest topical webinar, Winifred Cisar leads the conversation with Andrew Hedlund, John Kim, and Lyle Margolis, who share insights on private credit liquidity, Blue Owl asset sales, leverage trends, covenant protections, and how AI may reshape software business models and credit outcomes.

Watch on YouTube:

Speakers:

Winnie Cisar, Global Head of Strategy, CreditSights
Andrew Hedlund, Managing Editor, LevFin Insights
John Kim, Director, Covenant Analyst, Covenant Review
Lyle Margolis, Head of Private Credit, Fitch Ratings

Timestamps:

00:00 – Introduction
02:34 – 2025 Review & 2026 Supply Outlook
09:16 – Portfolio Concerns & Return Scenarios
17:10
– Muni Valuations & After-Tax Yields
26:16 – Sector Outlook & Poll Results
31:32 – Airport Sector Analysis
36:22
– Higher Education Sector Headwinds
47:16 – State & Local Government Trends
52:14 – Curve Positioning Strategy
54:40 – Q&A & Closing Remarks

More from our team:

Global Market Update: Credit Cycles and the Rise of AI Investment

Global Market Update: Credit Cycles and the Rise of AI Investment

February 6, 2026 Read More
Emerging Markets: Resilience, Risks, and Opportunities In 2026

Emerging Markets: Resilience, Risks, and Opportunities In 2026

February 5, 2026 Read More
2026 Municipals Outlook

2026 Municipals Outlook

January 30, 2026 Read More
Asia Credit Wrap: New Initiations & Strong Markets

Asia Credit Wrap: New Initiations & Strong Markets

January 29, 2026 Read More

Know More. Risk Better.®

Sign up to receive our latest credit insights direct to your inbox.